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Red122
502717.0
499024.6
25478.4
Blue111
247330.5
285432.6
545839.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11367050100150200122111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
78.41.8
70.272.0
Auto16.9
Teleop49.1
End11.0
red by 39.4
39.02.5
25.828.3
Auto9.4
Teleop22.2
End7.5
Second
4990
#22
24.62.4
18.520.9
Auto6.4
Teleop14.2
End4.0
blue by 8.0
2854
#44
32.62.5
24.827.3
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End7.0
Third
5027
#35
17.01.6
11.413.0
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End5.4
blue by 13.5
2473
#12
30.52.0
18.020.0
Auto10.2
Teleop14.5
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
54%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned