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Red121
425562.9
247330.5
116036.8
Blue100
880521.0
85229.5
884035.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12263050100150200121100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.90.6
54.655.2
Auto18.1
Teleop36.1
End7.9
red by 27.7
8840
#17
35.32.5
24.727.2
Auto10.4
Teleop17.7
End7.1
Second
1160
#11
36.80.7
32.232.9
Auto10.0
Teleop18.7
End8.2
red by 7.3
852
#20
29.52.2
21.023.2
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End8.8
Third
2473
#12
30.50.6
20.020.6
Auto10.2
Teleop14.5
End5.8
red by 9.4
8805
#56
21.03.7
21.024.7
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsEarned