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Red112
688432.5
325741.2
59952.2
Blue138
167876.3
76635.8
502717.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110124050150200250300350112138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#14
52.20.5
44.845.3
Auto14.7
Teleop30.3
End7.1
blue by 24.1
76.31.6
68.069.6
Auto18.0
Teleop46.9
End10.2
Second
3257
#25
41.20.6
34.334.9
Auto8.3
Teleop26.9
End5.9
red by 5.4
766
#28
35.81.8
33.234.9
Auto8.2
Teleop21.8
End5.8
Third
6884
#21
32.50.5
25.425.9
Auto9.1
Teleop15.6
End7.8
red by 15.5
5027
#35
17.01.6
13.014.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsMissed89%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned