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Red125
75123.4
135152.8
10036.5
Blue85
348222.5
366947.3
417119.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1087805015020012585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.81.7
50.251.9
Auto13.0
Teleop31.9
End7.9
red by 5.6
3669
#37
47.30.5
42.843.4
Auto14.6
Teleop26.0
End6.8
Second
100
#31
36.51.5
29.531.0
Auto12.5
Teleop15.4
End7.7
red by 14.1
3482
#38
22.50.6
17.317.8
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End4.6
Third
751
#16
23.41.7
17.619.2
Auto4.8
Teleop13.1
End5.6
red by 3.9
4171
#54
19.50.5
17.017.5
Auto7.1
Teleop6.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned34%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsMissed