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Qual 242023 Silicon Valley Regional
Red131
186857.1
247330.5
348222.5
Blue126
598527.3
852119.0
58161.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions959120406080120140160180131126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#10
57.12.5
50.0→52.5
Auto15.9
Teleop31.0
End9.9
blue by 4.0
581
#5
61.02.7
48.1→50.8
Auto13.5
Teleop39.2
End8.1
Second
2473
#12
30.52.5
20.6→23.1
Auto10.2
Teleop14.5
End5.8
red by 3.1
5985
#45
27.32.7
23.0→25.7
Auto9.3
Teleop13.0
End4.9
Third
3482
#38
22.52.5
17.8→20.4
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End4.6
red by 3.5
8521
#47
19.02.7
14.8→17.4
Auto4.5
Teleop9.6
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned35%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsEarned