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Red74
900621.6
64946.8
490424.2
Blue85
466920.6
688432.5
885234.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97780501507485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#26
46.81.0
41.940.9
Auto13.2
Teleop26.3
End7.1
red by 12.3
8852
#24
34.50.3
31.932.2
Auto11.5
Teleop16.5
End6.5
Second
4904
#57
24.21.1
25.824.7
Auto8.1
Teleop11.5
End4.7
blue by 8.3
6884
#21
32.50.3
25.926.2
Auto9.1
Teleop15.6
End7.8
Third
9006
#50
21.61.1
20.819.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End5.7
red by 1.0
4669
#42
20.60.3
17.818.1
Auto5.5
Teleop9.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsMissed69%Activation oddsMissed