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Red77
85229.5
203522.8
75123.4
Blue122
135152.8
545839.0
84027.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59119010015020077122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
852
#20
29.50.6
24.425.0
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End8.8
blue by 23.3
52.81.2
52.353.4
Auto13.0
Teleop31.9
End7.9
Second
751
#16
23.40.6
19.219.9
Auto4.8
Teleop13.1
End5.6
blue by 15.6
39.01.2
32.934.0
Auto9.4
Teleop22.2
End7.5
Third
2035
#53
22.80.6
19.119.7
Auto6.8
Teleop10.6
End5.5
blue by 4.8
840
#33
27.61.2
19.320.5
Auto8.2
Teleop13.5
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed45%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned