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Red143
623826.4
58161.0
688432.5
Blue107
826224.0
10036.5
285432.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1089050150200143107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#5
61.02.6
50.853.4
Auto13.5
Teleop39.2
End8.1
red by 24.5
100
#31
36.51.3
33.334.7
Auto12.5
Teleop15.4
End7.7
Second
6884
#21
32.52.6
26.228.8
Auto9.1
Teleop15.6
End7.8
blue by 0.1
2854
#44
32.61.3
30.732.1
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End7.0
Third
6238
#23
26.42.6
21.924.5
Auto7.9
Teleop11.7
End6.8
red by 2.3
8262
#52
24.01.3
22.824.1
Auto5.6
Teleop13.1
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
70%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned