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Red101
247330.5
490424.2
19927.7
Blue111
248930.4
900621.6
59952.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72108050150200101111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2473
#12
30.51.6
23.124.7
Auto10.2
Teleop14.5
End5.8
blue by 21.7
599
#14
52.20.3
47.748.0
Auto14.7
Teleop30.3
End7.1
Second
199
#51
27.71.6
24.225.8
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End6.8
blue by 2.7
2489
#19
30.40.3
29.429.7
Auto7.9
Teleop15.9
End6.5
Third
4904
#57
24.21.6
24.726.3
Auto8.1
Teleop11.5
End4.7
red by 2.7
9006
#50
21.60.3
19.720.0
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed33%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned