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Red131
770923.0
116036.8
25478.4
Blue101
598527.3
19927.7
196735.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1548450100200131101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
78.40.3
75.975.5
Auto16.9
Teleop49.1
End11.0
red by 42.7
1967
#43
35.70.2
34.234.5
Auto13.3
Teleop14.2
End8.1
Second
1160
#11
36.80.3
35.735.4
Auto10.0
Teleop18.7
End8.2
red by 9.1
199
#51
27.70.2
28.128.3
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End6.8
Third
7709
#46
23.00.5
24.223.6
Auto6.0
Teleop9.7
End7.4
blue by 4.4
5985
#45
27.30.2
25.025.3
Auto9.3
Teleop13.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
85%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned