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Red52
880521.0
75123.4
502717.0
Blue123
517141.3
914334.5
741929.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58105015020052123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
751
#16
23.40.6
23.923.3
Auto4.8
Teleop13.1
End5.6
blue by 17.9
5171
#15
41.31.0
35.636.6
Auto11.8
Teleop19.6
End10.0
Second
8805
#56
21.01.0
22.621.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End5.7
blue by 13.5
9143
#13
34.51.0
31.932.9
Auto10.7
Teleop16.0
End7.9
Third
5027
#35
17.00.6
14.313.7
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End5.4
blue by 12.2
7419
#27
29.11.0
25.426.4
Auto11.6
Teleop12.0
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed20%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed51%Activation oddsEarned