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Red151
167876.3
248930.4
641828.1
Blue51
499024.6
348222.5
236718.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1506205010020015151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.31.4
72.774.1
Auto18.0
Teleop46.9
End10.2
red by 51.7
4990
#22
24.62.6
22.720.1
Auto6.4
Teleop14.2
End4.0
Second
2489
#19
30.41.4
29.530.9
Auto7.9
Teleop15.9
End6.5
red by 7.9
3482
#38
22.51.6
23.221.7
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End4.6
Third
6418
#29
28.11.4
27.428.8
Auto8.7
Teleop15.1
End4.4
red by 9.9
2367
#59
18.21.6
23.421.8
Auto6.3
Teleop5.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
85%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned20%Activation oddsEarned