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Red133
325741.2
366947.3
285432.6
Blue124
64946.8
84647.8
84027.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123120100110130140150133124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3669
#37
47.31.2
46.647.8
Auto14.6
Teleop26.0
End6.8
blue by 0.5
846
#18
47.80.8
46.447.2
Auto13.7
Teleop30.4
End3.5
Second
3257
#25
41.21.2
37.038.3
Auto8.3
Teleop26.9
End5.9
blue by 5.7
649
#26
46.80.8
42.943.7
Auto13.2
Teleop26.3
End7.1
Third
2854
#44
32.61.2
31.232.4
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End7.0
red by 5.0
840
#33
27.60.8
23.224.0
Auto8.2
Teleop13.5
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsEarned20%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsMissed