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Red128
97255.6
19927.7
248930.4
Blue146
741929.1
826224.0
167876.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117137050100200250300128146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
972
#9
55.60.4
52.753.1
Auto13.5
Teleop35.3
End6.7
blue by 20.8
76.31.3
74.175.5
Auto18.0
Teleop46.9
End10.2
Second
2489
#19
30.40.4
30.931.3
Auto7.9
Teleop15.9
End6.5
red by 1.2
7419
#27
29.11.3
26.427.8
Auto11.6
Teleop12.0
End5.6
Third
199
#51
27.70.4
28.328.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End6.8
red by 3.7
8262
#52
24.01.3
25.326.7
Auto5.6
Teleop13.1
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
44%Sustainability oddsEarned79%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned