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Red90
325626.1
401041.5
880521.0
Blue119
75123.4
550746.8
64946.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8812605010015020090119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4010
#40
41.50.2
40.740.9
Auto10.0
Teleop22.9
End8.4
blue by 5.3
649
#26
46.80.3
43.744.0
Auto13.2
Teleop26.3
End7.1
Second
3256
#36
26.10.2
25.325.5
Auto10.1
Teleop12.8
End3.1
blue by 20.7
46.80.3
46.847.2
Auto13.6
Teleop26.0
End6.8
Third
8805
#56
21.00.3
21.621.9
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End5.7
blue by 2.4
751
#16
23.40.3
23.323.6
Auto4.8
Teleop13.1
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed56%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned