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Red99
84647.8
497322.3
466920.6
Blue110
84027.6
598527.3
10036.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98895015020099110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#18
47.80.6
47.247.7
Auto13.7
Teleop30.4
End3.5
red by 11.3
100
#31
36.51.4
35.036.4
Auto12.5
Teleop15.4
End7.7
Second
4973
#41
22.30.9
23.124.1
Auto6.8
Teleop8.6
End6.9
blue by 5.3
840
#33
27.61.4
24.025.3
Auto8.2
Teleop13.5
End5.9
Third
4669
#42
20.60.6
20.320.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.8
End5.3
blue by 6.7
5985
#45
27.31.4
25.326.7
Auto9.3
Teleop13.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsMissed