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Red109
59952.2
348222.5
75123.4
Blue73
236718.2
826224.0
884035.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107855015010973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#14
52.20.4
52.853.2
Auto14.7
Teleop30.3
End7.1
red by 16.9
8840
#17
35.30.9
35.734.8
Auto10.4
Teleop17.7
End7.1
Second
751
#16
23.40.4
23.624.0
Auto4.8
Teleop13.1
End5.6
blue by 0.6
8262
#52
24.00.9
26.725.7
Auto5.6
Teleop13.1
End5.3
Third
3482
#38
22.50.4
21.521.9
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End4.6
red by 4.2
2367
#59
18.20.9
19.818.8
Auto6.3
Teleop5.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed82%Activation oddsMissed