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Red100
85229.5
84125.1
64946.8
Blue157
10036.5
167876.3
60458.7
1%Model gave it99%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9618550150200250100157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#26
46.80.4
44.043.6
Auto13.2
Teleop26.3
End7.1
blue by 29.5
76.31.0
75.574.4
Auto18.0
Teleop46.9
End10.2
Second
852
#20
29.50.4
29.629.2
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End8.8
blue by 29.2
604
#4
58.71.0
57.456.3
Auto14.3
Teleop33.5
End10.6
Third
841
#30
25.10.4
27.326.9
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End6.6
blue by 11.5
100
#31
36.51.0
36.435.3
Auto12.5
Teleop15.4
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsEarned96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsEarned