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Red115
196735.7
550746.8
623826.4
Blue159
517141.3
900621.6
167876.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11214650100200250115159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.80.4
47.247.6
Auto13.6
Teleop26.0
End6.8
blue by 29.5
76.31.4
74.475.8
Auto18.0
Teleop46.9
End10.2
Second
1967
#43
35.70.4
36.136.5
Auto13.3
Teleop14.2
End8.1
blue by 5.7
5171
#15
41.31.4
38.039.5
Auto11.8
Teleop19.6
End10.0
Third
6238
#23
26.40.4
25.826.2
Auto7.9
Teleop11.7
End6.8
red by 4.8
9006
#50
21.61.4
20.221.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
55%Sustainability oddsEarned86%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned