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Red107
10036.5
264321.1
639038.9
Blue134
490424.2
25478.4
75123.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9114250200107134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6390
#32
38.90.7
36.236.8
Auto10.8
Teleop20.2
End7.8
blue by 39.5
254
#1
78.40.3
78.277.9
Auto16.9
Teleop49.1
End11.0
Second
100
#31
36.50.7
35.336.0
Auto12.5
Teleop15.4
End7.7
red by 12.3
4904
#57
24.20.3
24.524.2
Auto8.1
Teleop11.5
End4.7
Third
2643
#48
21.10.7
20.521.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End6.5
blue by 2.3
751
#16
23.40.3
24.023.7
Auto4.8
Teleop13.1
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsMissed72%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned