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Red109
417119.5
912622.1
59952.2
Blue139
285432.6
325626.1
97255.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101116050150200250109139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#14
52.20.6
53.252.6
Auto14.7
Teleop30.3
End7.1
blue by 3.4
972
#9
55.61.3
52.754.1
Auto13.5
Teleop35.3
End6.7
Second
9126
#49
22.10.9
23.022.1
Auto6.7
Teleop10.8
End4.7
blue by 10.5
2854
#44
32.61.3
29.731.0
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End7.0
Third
4171
#54
19.50.6
20.119.5
Auto7.1
Teleop6.6
End5.8
blue by 6.6
3256
#36
26.11.3
24.726.1
Auto10.1
Teleop12.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsMissed31%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned