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Red122
135152.8
884035.3
499024.6
Blue91
900621.6
770923.0
550746.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1239540608014016018020012291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.80.7
53.153.8
Auto13.0
Teleop31.9
End7.9
red by 6.0
46.80.1
47.647.5
Auto13.6
Teleop26.0
End6.8
Second
8840
#17
35.30.7
34.835.5
Auto10.4
Teleop17.7
End7.1
red by 12.3
7709
#46
23.00.1
23.123.0
Auto6.0
Teleop9.7
End7.4
Third
4990
#22
24.61.0
23.624.6
Auto6.4
Teleop14.2
End4.0
red by 3.1
9006
#50
21.60.1
21.621.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
49%Sustainability oddsEarned40%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsEarned