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Red180
425562.9
285432.6
58161.0
Blue120
116036.8
84647.8
76635.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163126100150200250180120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.90.5
61.361.8
Auto18.1
Teleop36.1
End7.9
red by 15.1
846
#18
47.80.3
48.548.2
Auto13.7
Teleop30.4
End3.5
Second
581
#5
61.00.5
59.459.9
Auto13.5
Teleop39.2
End8.1
red by 24.2
1160
#11
36.80.3
37.637.3
Auto10.0
Teleop18.7
End8.2
Third
2854
#44
32.60.5
31.031.5
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End7.0
blue by 3.2
766
#28
35.80.3
36.536.2
Auto8.2
Teleop21.8
End5.8