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Red150
97255.6
60458.7
517141.3
Blue176
186857.1
64946.8
639038.9
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16414080100120180200220240150176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#4
58.70.0
57.357.2
Auto14.3
Teleop33.5
End10.6
red by 1.7
1868
#10
57.10.6
55.055.6
Auto15.9
Teleop31.0
End9.9
Second
972
#9
55.60.0
54.154.0
Auto13.5
Teleop35.3
End6.7
red by 8.7
649
#26
46.80.6
44.745.3
Auto13.2
Teleop26.3
End7.1
Third
5171
#15
41.30.0
39.839.8
Auto11.8
Teleop19.6
End10.0
red by 2.4
6390
#32
38.90.6
36.837.4
Auto10.8
Teleop20.2
End7.8