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Red153
69656.9
704227.9
940850.0
Blue111
263745.9
999920.2
96840.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1088150150153111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#4
56.90.4
56.556.9
Auto8.0
Teleop51.1
End-1.8
red by 11.0
45.90.1
45.745.8
Auto6.6
Teleop38.1
End1.2
Second
50.00.5
49.450.0
Auto7.8
Teleop43.6
End-1.6
red by 9.2
968
#12
40.80.1
40.640.7
Auto5.7
Teleop33.4
End1.9
Third
7042
#17
27.90.4
27.527.9
Auto8.4
Teleop18.4
End1.3
red by 7.7
9999
#29
20.20.1
19.920.1
Auto0.6
Teleop21.3
End-1.9