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Red125
29454.5
999622.6
68759.5
Blue135
263745.9
999920.2
96840.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11278050100150200125135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#3
59.50.4
59.959.5
Auto11.2
Teleop49.1
End-1.4
red by 13.6
45.90.6
45.145.7
Auto6.6
Teleop38.1
End1.2
Second
294
#2
54.50.4
54.954.5
Auto9.0
Teleop43.6
End1.6
red by 13.7
968
#12
40.80.6
40.040.6
Auto5.7
Teleop33.4
End1.9
Third
9996
#26
22.60.5
23.122.6
Auto5.0
Teleop18.7
End-1.1
red by 2.3
9999
#29
20.20.7
19.319.9
Auto0.6
Teleop21.3
End-1.9