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Red139
96840.8
999920.2
263745.9
Blue98
258442.4
59744.8
508926.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions819905015020025013998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.90.2
44.945.1
Auto6.6
Teleop38.1
End1.2
red by 1.1
597
#9
44.80.4
45.244.8
Auto8.7
Teleop33.2
End3.1
Second
968
#12
40.80.2
39.840.0
Auto5.7
Teleop33.4
End1.9
blue by 1.5
2584
#10
42.40.4
42.742.4
Auto8.1
Teleop34.2
End-0.2
Third
9999
#29
20.20.2
19.019.3
Auto0.6
Teleop21.3
End-1.9
blue by 6.7
5089
#21
26.90.4
27.326.9
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End0.4