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Red159
69656.9
704227.9
940850.0
Blue133
68759.5
999622.6
29454.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101108050150200250159133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#4
56.90.6
55.956.5
Auto8.0
Teleop51.1
End-1.8
blue by 2.6
687
#3
59.50.1
60.059.9
Auto11.2
Teleop49.1
End-1.4
Second
50.00.7
48.749.4
Auto7.8
Teleop43.6
End-1.6
blue by 4.5
294
#2
54.50.1
55.054.9
Auto9.0
Teleop43.6
End1.6
Third
7042
#17
27.90.6
26.827.5
Auto8.4
Teleop18.4
End1.3
red by 5.3
9996
#26
22.60.1
23.223.1
Auto5.0
Teleop18.7
End-1.1