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Qual 12023 SoCal Showdown
Red147
519960.6
999920.2
263745.9
Blue63
447029.4
59744.8
999318.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1086605015020014763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#11
60.61.8
60.9→62.7
Auto9.1
Teleop51.1
End-1.2
red by 15.8
597
#9
44.81.5
44.0→42.5
Auto8.7
Teleop33.2
End3.1
Second
2637
#6
45.91.8
36.0→37.8
Auto6.6
Teleop38.1
End1.2
red by 16.6
4470
#18
29.41.8
17.9→16.1
Auto7.6
Teleop21.6
End0.5
Third
9999
#29
20.23.0
18.4→21.4
Auto0.6
Teleop21.3
End-1.9
red by 1.8
9993
#24
18.42.5
18.4→15.9
Auto2.0
Teleop18.1
End-1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsMissed