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Qual 22023 SoCal Showdown
Red50
999622.6
145214.2
427.7
Blue161
68759.5
69656.9
999834.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59114010015020025050161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4
#30
27.71.7
33.9→32.3
Auto6.5
Teleop20.1
End1.6
blue by 31.8
687
#3
59.52.5
52.6→55.1
Auto11.2
Teleop49.1
End-1.4
Second
9996
#26
22.62.8
18.4→15.6
Auto5.0
Teleop18.7
End-1.1
blue by 34.4
696
#4
56.92.5
52.2→54.7
Auto8.0
Teleop51.1
End-1.8
Third
1452
#31
14.21.7
17.7→16.0
Auto3.3
Teleop11.0
End-0.1
blue by 20.1
9998
#5
34.34.2
18.4→22.6
Auto5.3
Teleop30.7
End-1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed46%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
52%Activation oddsMissed66%Activation oddsEarned