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Red94
375918.0
999622.6
447029.4
Blue118
420147.3
347333.0
59744.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2415905010020025030094118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4470
#18
29.42.6
15.317.9
Auto7.6
Teleop21.6
End0.5
blue by 17.9
4201
#23
47.31.4
58.557.1
Auto7.6
Teleop36.9
End2.3
Second
9996
#26
22.64.3
15.019.3
Auto5.0
Teleop18.7
End-1.1
blue by 22.2
597
#9
44.81.4
44.543.1
Auto8.7
Teleop33.2
End3.1
Third
3759
#34
18.02.6
19.822.4
Auto2.2
Teleop14.7
End1.2
blue by 15.0
3473
#15
33.01.4
36.735.3
Auto5.9
Teleop26.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed57%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsMissed