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Red160
69656.9
29454.5
412337.9
Blue65
113844.5
999520.1
427.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1328005010015020016065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#4Sur
56.91.2
54.755.9
Auto8.0
Teleop51.1
End-1.8
red by 12.4
1138
#8Sur
44.51.7
39.237.5
Auto7.9
Teleop34.9
End1.9
Second
294
#2
54.51.2
44.245.4
Auto9.0
Teleop43.6
End1.6
red by 26.7
4
#30
27.71.7
29.227.5
Auto6.5
Teleop20.1
End1.6
Third
4123
#16
37.91.2
38.539.7
Auto10.1
Teleop25.9
End2.1
red by 17.8
9995
#22
20.12.9
22.419.6
Auto5.6
Teleop15.4
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
37%Sustainability oddsEarned13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned21%Activation oddsMissed