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Qual 182023 SoCal Showdown
Red58
690420.9
412337.9
145214.2
Blue81
622020.8
271031.9
704227.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74713040506080901005881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4123
#16
37.91.4
39.7→38.3
Auto10.1
Teleop25.9
End2.1
red by 6.0
2710
#7
31.90.1
31.7→31.6
Auto5.3
Teleop25.0
End1.7
Second
6904
#27
20.91.4
20.0→18.5
Auto1.5
Teleop16.9
End2.6
blue by 7.0
7042
#17
27.90.1
27.0→27.0
Auto8.4
Teleop18.4
End1.3
Third
1452
#31
14.21.4
14.8→13.4
Auto3.3
Teleop11.0
End-0.1
blue by 6.6
6220
#25
20.80.1
18.4→18.3
Auto1.8
Teleop16.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
85%Activation oddsMissed52%Activation oddsEarned