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Red82
999318.4
999834.3
420147.3
Blue91
999710.1
508926.9
258442.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77742040601001208291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#23
47.31.2
53.552.3
Auto7.6
Teleop36.9
End2.3
red by 5.0
2584
#10
42.40.4
38.639.0
Auto8.1
Teleop34.2
End-0.2
Second
34.32.0
27.925.9
Auto5.3
Teleop30.7
End-1.9
red by 7.4
5089
#21
26.90.4
28.829.2
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End0.4
Third
9993
#24
18.42.0
13.511.6
Auto2.0
Teleop18.1
End-1.7
red by 8.3
9997
#33
10.10.7
12.112.8
Auto0.8
Teleop10.4
End-1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned15%Activation oddsEarned