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Qual 212023 SoCal Showdown
Red136
113844.5
119724.1
59744.8
Blue93
347333.0
263745.9
427.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99986070809011012013014013693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#9
44.82.3
43.1→45.4
Auto8.7
Teleop33.2
End3.1
blue by 1.1
2637
#6
45.91.2
37.9→36.7
Auto6.6
Teleop38.1
End1.2
Second
1138
#8
44.52.3
37.5→39.8
Auto7.9
Teleop34.9
End1.9
red by 11.6
3473
#15
33.01.2
35.3→34.1
Auto5.9
Teleop26.9
End0.3
Third
1197
#14
24.12.3
20.2→22.6
Auto3.5
Teleop20.0
End0.7
blue by 3.7
4
#30
27.71.2
27.5→26.3
Auto6.5
Teleop20.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsMissed