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Qual 222023 SoCal Showdown
Red169
29454.5
432242.5
940850.0
Blue156
519960.6
999622.6
68759.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10399406080120140160180169156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#2
54.54.0
45.4→49.4
Auto9.0
Teleop43.6
End1.6
blue by 6.1
5199
#11
60.61.5
60.0→61.6
Auto9.1
Teleop51.1
End-1.2
Second
9408
#1
50.06.6
28.8→35.4
Auto7.8
Teleop43.6
End-1.6
blue by 9.5
687
#3
59.51.5
54.5→56.0
Auto11.2
Teleop49.1
End-1.4
Third
4322
#13
42.54.0
35.5→39.5
Auto7.7
Teleop32.4
End2.3
red by 19.9
9996
#26
22.62.5
19.3→21.9
Auto5.0
Teleop18.7
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsEarned31%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned