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Qual 262023 SoCal Showdown
Red87
499913.7
622020.8
96840.8
Blue120
113844.5
145214.2
447029.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6667506070809010011087120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
#12
40.81.0
41.8→42.7
Auto5.7
Teleop33.4
End1.9
blue by 3.7
1138
#8
44.53.1
39.8→42.9
Auto7.9
Teleop34.9
End1.9
Second
6220
#25
20.81.0
18.3→19.3
Auto1.8
Teleop16.4
End2.6
blue by 8.6
4470
#18
29.43.1
20.0→23.1
Auto7.6
Teleop21.6
End0.5
Third
4999
#32
13.71.0
12.3→13.2
Auto1.7
Teleop13.5
End-1.2
blue by 0.4
1452
#31
14.23.1
13.4→16.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.0
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed46%Activation oddsEarned