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Qual 272023 SoCal Showdown
Red126
258442.4
519960.6
999318.4
Blue135
432242.5
347333.0
69656.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82117050100150200250300126135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#11
60.60.6
61.6→62.2
Auto9.1
Teleop51.1
End-1.2
red by 3.6
696
#4
56.90.7
56.7→56.0
Auto8.0
Teleop51.1
End-1.8
Second
2584
#10
42.40.6
39.0→39.6
Auto8.1
Teleop34.2
End-0.2
blue by 0.1
4322
#13
42.50.7
39.5→38.8
Auto7.7
Teleop32.4
End2.3
Third
9993
#24
18.41.0
11.6→12.5
Auto2.0
Teleop18.1
End-1.7
blue by 14.6
3473
#15
33.00.7
34.1→33.4
Auto5.9
Teleop26.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed60%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
20%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsMissed