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Qual 282023 SoCal Showdown
Red117
607213.4
412337.9
68759.5
Blue61
999520.1
999920.2
508926.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10046015020011761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#3
59.50.2
56.0→56.2
Auto11.2
Teleop49.1
End-1.4
red by 32.6
5089
#21
26.90.4
29.2→28.8
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End0.4
Second
4123
#16
37.90.2
38.3→38.5
Auto10.1
Teleop25.9
End2.1
red by 17.7
9999
#29
20.20.6
21.0→20.4
Auto0.6
Teleop21.3
End-1.9
Third
6072
#28
13.40.2
14.5→14.7
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End1.2
blue by 6.7
9995
#22
20.10.6
16.4→15.7
Auto5.6
Teleop15.4
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned34%Activation oddsEarned