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Red152
59943.3
622020.8
69656.9
Blue93
999710.1
119724.1
29454.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1056705015020025015293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#4
56.92.0
56.058.0
Auto8.0
Teleop51.1
End-1.8
red by 2.5
294
#2
54.50.6
49.450.0
Auto9.0
Teleop43.6
End1.6
Second
599
#19
43.32.0
41.943.9
Auto9.5
Teleop32.8
End0.8
red by 19.3
1197
#14
24.10.6
22.322.9
Auto3.5
Teleop20.0
End0.7
Third
6220
#25
20.82.0
19.321.3
Auto1.8
Teleop16.4
End2.6
red by 10.7
9997
#33
10.10.9
12.813.8
Auto0.8
Teleop10.4
End-1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsMissed