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Qual 302023 SoCal Showdown
Red122
412337.9
432242.5
999834.3
Blue111
447029.4
940850.0
690420.9
64%Model gave it36%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100610150200250300350122111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4322
#13
42.50.9
38.8→39.7
Auto7.7
Teleop32.4
End2.3
blue by 7.5
9408
#1
50.02.6
40.7→43.3
Auto7.8
Teleop43.6
End-1.6
Second
4123
#16
37.90.9
38.5→39.4
Auto10.1
Teleop25.9
End2.1
red by 8.5
4470
#18
29.41.6
23.1→24.7
Auto7.6
Teleop21.6
End0.5
Third
9998
#5
34.31.5
31.2→32.7
Auto5.3
Teleop30.7
End-1.9
red by 13.4
6904
#27
20.91.6
18.5→20.1
Auto1.5
Teleop16.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
29%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned