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Qual 312023 SoCal Showdown
Red115
68759.5
999920.2
347333.0
Blue111
263745.9
59943.3
704227.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions949460708090100110120115111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#3
59.50.3
56.2→56.5
Auto11.2
Teleop49.1
End-1.4
red by 13.6
2637
#6
45.90.2
38.8→38.6
Auto6.6
Teleop38.1
End1.2
Second
3473
#15
33.00.3
33.4→33.7
Auto5.9
Teleop26.9
End0.3
blue by 10.4
599
#19DQ
43.30.2
43.9→43.7
Auto9.5
Teleop32.8
End0.8
Third
9999
#29
20.20.6
20.4→20.9
Auto0.6
Teleop21.3
End-1.9
blue by 7.7
7042
#17
27.90.2
26.7→26.5
Auto8.4
Teleop18.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned