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Qual 322023 SoCal Showdown
Red95
427.7
508926.9
999318.4
Blue71
999710.1
999622.6
499913.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533201001502009571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4
#30
27.70.3
26.4→26.8
Auto6.5
Teleop20.1
End1.6
red by 5.1
9996
#26
22.61.3
27.2→28.5
Auto5.0
Teleop18.7
End-1.1
Second
5089
#21
26.90.3
28.8→29.2
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End0.4
red by 13.1
4999
#32
13.70.8
13.2→14.0
Auto1.7
Teleop13.5
End-1.2
Third
9993
#24
18.40.6
12.5→13.1
Auto2.0
Teleop18.1
End-1.7
red by 8.3
9997
#33
10.11.3
13.8→15.1
Auto0.8
Teleop10.4
End-1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsEarned20%Activation oddsMissed