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Qual 332023 SoCal Showdown
Red95
519960.6
375918.0
420147.3
Blue140
607213.4
96840.8
113844.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1218505010015020025095140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#11
60.62.6
62.2→59.5
Auto9.1
Teleop51.1
End-1.2
red by 16.0
1138
#8
44.52.0
42.9→44.9
Auto7.9
Teleop34.9
End1.9
Second
4201
#23
47.32.6
52.3→49.6
Auto7.6
Teleop36.9
End2.3
red by 6.5
968
#12
40.82.0
42.7→44.7
Auto5.7
Teleop33.4
End1.9
Third
3759
#34
18.02.6
19.9→17.3
Auto2.2
Teleop14.7
End1.2
red by 4.6
6072
#28
13.42.0
14.7→16.7
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
45%Sustainability oddsMissed19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsMissed63%Activation oddsEarned