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Qual 372023 SoCal Showdown
Red141
999520.1
447029.4
519960.6
Blue68
420147.3
704227.9
999622.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8479406010012014014168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#11
60.62.4
59.5→61.9
Auto9.1
Teleop51.1
End-1.2
red by 13.3
4201
#23
47.32.4
49.6→47.2
Auto7.6
Teleop36.9
End2.3
Second
4470
#18
29.42.4
24.7→27.1
Auto7.6
Teleop21.6
End0.5
red by 1.5
7042
#17
27.92.4
26.5→24.0
Auto8.4
Teleop18.4
End1.3
Third
9995
#22
20.13.9
16.3→20.3
Auto5.6
Teleop15.4
End-1.1
blue by 2.5
9996
#26
22.64.1
28.5→24.4
Auto5.0
Teleop18.7
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned