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Qual 382023 SoCal Showdown
Red75
59744.8
499913.7
69656.9
Blue78
622020.8
940850.0
800616.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1085501502007578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#4
56.92.9
58.0→55.1
Auto8.0
Teleop51.1
End-1.8
red by 7.0
9408
#1
50.00.1
43.3→43.4
Auto7.8
Teleop43.6
End-1.6
Second
597
#9
44.82.9
45.8→42.9
Auto8.7
Teleop33.2
End3.1
red by 24.0
6220
#25
20.80.1
21.3→21.4
Auto1.8
Teleop16.4
End2.6
Third
4999
#32
13.72.9
14.0→11.2
Auto1.7
Teleop13.5
End-1.2
blue by 2.3
8006
#20
16.00.1
12.6→12.6
Auto2.0
Teleop12.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsMissed