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Qual 442023 SoCal Showdown
Red87
145214.2
69656.9
508926.9
Blue161
59744.8
940850.0
263745.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6711805010015020025087161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#4
56.90.6
55.1→54.5
Auto8.0
Teleop51.1
End-1.8
red by 7.0
9408
#1
50.02.6
43.4→46.0
Auto7.8
Teleop43.6
End-1.6
Second
5089
#21
26.90.6
28.5→27.9
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End0.4
blue by 19.0
2637
#6
45.91.7
39.9→41.5
Auto6.6
Teleop38.1
End1.2
Third
1452
#31
14.20.6
13.0→12.4
Auto3.3
Teleop11.0
End-0.1
blue by 30.6
597
#9
44.81.7
42.9→44.6
Auto8.7
Teleop33.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
54%Activation oddsMissed64%Activation oddsEarned