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Qual 452023 SoCal Showdown
Red126
499913.7
271031.9
29454.5
Blue103
607213.4
447029.4
999834.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89430150200250126103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#2
54.51.9
50.8→52.7
Auto9.0
Teleop43.6
End1.6
red by 20.1
9998
#5
34.31.9
31.6→33.5
Auto5.3
Teleop30.7
End-1.9
Second
2710
#7
31.91.9
30.2→32.1
Auto5.3
Teleop25.0
End1.7
red by 2.5
4470
#18
29.41.2
27.1→28.3
Auto7.6
Teleop21.6
End0.5
Third
4999
#32
13.71.9
11.2→13.1
Auto1.7
Teleop13.5
End-1.2
red by 0.4
6072
#28
13.41.2
14.0→15.2
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned