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Qual 462023 SoCal Showdown
Red142
59943.3
508926.9
59744.8
Blue149
704227.9
69656.9
519960.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10311080120140142149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#9
44.80.1
44.6→44.5
Auto8.7
Teleop33.2
End3.1
blue by 15.8
5199
#11
60.60.5
62.3→62.8
Auto9.1
Teleop51.1
End-1.2
Second
599
#19
43.30.1
43.9→43.8
Auto9.5
Teleop32.8
End0.8
blue by 13.6
696
#4
56.90.5
54.5→55.0
Auto8.0
Teleop51.1
End-1.8
Third
5089
#21
26.90.1
27.9→27.8
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End0.4
blue by 1.0
7042
#17
27.90.5
24.0→24.6
Auto8.4
Teleop18.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsMissed39%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsEarned