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Qual 482023 SoCal Showdown
Red99
999318.4
29454.5
375918.0
Blue106
59943.3
271031.9
412337.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54112015020025099106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#2
54.50.7
52.7→53.3
Auto9.0
Teleop43.6
End1.6
red by 11.1
599
#19
43.31.9
43.8→41.8
Auto9.5
Teleop32.8
End0.8
Second
9993
#24
18.41.0
18.0→19.0
Auto2.0
Teleop18.1
End-1.7
blue by 19.5
4123
#16
37.91.9
39.2→37.2
Auto10.1
Teleop25.9
End2.1
Third
3759
#34
18.00.7
18.4→19.0
Auto2.2
Teleop14.7
End1.2
blue by 13.9
2710
#7
31.91.9
32.1→30.2
Auto5.3
Teleop25.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsMissed